12/08/2014

#ukraine : the fall of the Ruble in one pic

source http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-12-07/ruble-s-rout-is-tale-of-failed-threats-missteps-and-blown-cash.html

let's hope that this will foce Putin to come back to his senses

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ukranian cyber-forces hacked Russian ministery of interior and leaked documents

source https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wyBZp4UXvCI

this has only any sense if somebody who knows the russian language makes sense out of it all and translates it in english

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ukranian cyber-forces hack securitycamera's for espionage in realtime online

just as anybody else in the intelligence business I think

more can be found here https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAXdfFRi-lhKqlKV1JLSCsQ

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baltic military incidents with airplanes can become nuclear now ...... #ukraine

somebody is increasing the gamble looking how far he can go

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12/07/2014

#ukraine new video of the slaughter on Maidan one year ago (put your sound loud)

and meanwhile at the front where there is daily fighting

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12/03/2014

NATO defense expenditures for 2013 and what will surely change soon

some countries with borders with Russia or not that far from Russia will have to increase their budgets and some are already annoucing these new investments and new military strategies and cooperation agreements

if you look at the table you will also understand better some of Putin's diplomatic efforts from the beginning and lately

the biggest question is if the NATO will stay united throughout this difficult period because anytime a coalition of countries has been faced with a persistant and overwhelming adversary who doesn't have to agree with anyone and doesn't have to comply with anything, there have been different strategies which are defended rightly or wrongly by different groups which gives the dictator at the opposite time the opportunity to win time and at first to achieve his goals without a real war - just by small wars and destabilisation with the right dose of diplomacy

Embedded image permalink

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11/24/2014

#ukraine the #maidan revolution by those who survived it

they were wise enough to organize elections and to have a real democracy a year later

meanwhile many of these #maidan defense units have now been fighting and dying in the donbass against the Russian invaders

but Ukraine has found back its unity, its history and its future

not all the people in the documentary are as 'nice' and democratic as we would like them to be - but in the face of death and violence you don't ask the political opinions of the person fighting next to you - that is for afterwards (and the elections have reduced the influence of the rightwing radicals to minimalist proportions)

even if Putin wanted it otherwise and hoped they would win a bigger margin or a majority because of his incursions and permanent bombardements

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11/22/2014

#ukraine just a reminder that this is a local limited but REAL daily war

so those who think that we shouldn't have so much attention for it are wrong

here weapons are tested, here strategies are being adopted, here future special soldiers are being trained, here plans are being made for 2020 (by Russia) when its military will have finished its transformation and will have all the new weaponary it needs for...... (read what Putin is saying publicly and you know)

or we win this war and send a clear message now, or we have another one and worse in a few years

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#ukraine is becoming the biggest real testfield for military hardware in Europe

Even if those weapons have been developed for the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, they have never been tested in real war in Europe with another climate and other battle conditions. So both sides are starting to send their newest military hardware to the Ukranian battlefield (this is what it is really, sad to say) and to learn what works and what should be changed - especially in the new doctrine of waging or combating a Hybrid war (which is even different from the kinds of wars that are being fought in Iraq and Afghanistan).

 

for those interested in the networking of the battlefield, you will see that secure communication is part of the infrastructure and the success of these military hardware

This is in fact a big argument for NATO or other countries or even industries to get their newest weaponary to Ukraine so they can achieve some military balance and keep the conflict under control as long as there is no diplomatic solution and have a learning process that no exercise can give. When it comes to real or limited war somewhere on our Eastern European borders than those leassons will be very important. The Baltic states surely think so.

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11/21/2014

happy birthday to #Euromaidan while Ukranian Mad Max are still fighting the invading Russians

looks like a Mad Max car if you ask me - they made it themselves in the factory based upon the battlefield experiences

meanwhile at Euromaidan people are now remembering the fallen 100 and the people they lost there

 

We have hundreds of posting about Kiev, Maidan and Ukraine they are all here in chronological order

and this is when it for us all began and we started to take notice and from that moment on we were hooked and chose our site, those of the people for the people and by the people (in all there are about 800 postings about Ukraine since than). Several times our frontpage was even changed to show the importance of the burning tyres resisting the attacks every night or the invading russian tanks that have been coming without an end the last months.

we have also a tweetlist about Ukraine and in our main tweetfeed Ukraine is always on our mind (and in our eye). We always keep a close watch on what is happening in this new Front for democracy.

and this was one of the first barricades to appear in Kiev

and this is how it ended - when even snipers couldn't end the protest are killing a 100 people and wounding several hundred - they fled and the regime with them

and since one year they had military battles with defeats and success and two elections and a lot of support but not enough of it and yet after one year Putin only occupies 5% of the territory and didn't accomplish his strategic goal.... or not yet

but if anybody would have told us that one year ago, nobody would have believed that that was possible

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11/15/2014

how Google earth is used in #ukraine to find from where the shooting came

source http://prior-magister.livejournal.com/4419.html

these are the buildings and from where they were shot at

this is the map

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NAVO country Romania is now under threat of Russian missiles on Crimea

i really begin to believe that some in Moscow have lost all their senses

do they really think that they can go on and on and on and that we will never start to react and that at that time we won't start to throw all our resources so that it will become clear once and for all that this kind of stupid wargames makes no sense and brings no results at all for neither party

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the #MH17 was not shot down by an Ukranian jet, copy-paste journalists in the west

this is another example of how propaganda is made today and distributed through social media to be picked up by some international press bureau who than is responsable that is copy-pasted all over the world by journalists refering to the international press bureau referring to the propaganda and not being able to retract it afterwards or not in the same fashion

what is the goal - just to make some smokescreens and to make it seem to people that this is still an undecided case and that it is not sure that it were the Russian forces in Ukraine - even if all the evidence is showing this without doubt

source http://www.buzzfeed.com/maxseddon/russian-tv-airs-clearly-fake-image-to-claim-ukraine-shot-dow

this article is longer than here and shows very clearly how propoganda is made today and how it is quite easy today to doublecheck and to discover forgeries if one makes an effort - but to that press agencies do need to have investigate journalists or factchecking researchers who have nothing else to do and can be freed to do this - even under stress because the press agency doesn't want to lose this exclusive to others

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11/14/2014

Russian Pravda threatens Western Europe with nuclear surprise blackmail

"Here is another surprise. As for tactical nuclear weapons, the superiority of modern-day Russia over NATO is even stronger.

The Americans are well aware of this. They were convinced before that Russia would never rise again. Now it's too late.

To date, NATO countries have only 260 tactical nuclear weapons in the ETO. The United States has 200 bombs with a total capacity of 18 megatons. They are located on six air bases in Germany, Italy, Belgium, the Netherlands and Turkey. France has 60 more atomic bombs. That is pretty much it. Russia, according to conservative estimates, has 5,000 pieces of different classes of TNW - from Iskander warheads to torpedo, aerial and artillery warheads! The US has 300 tactical B-61 bombs on its own territory, but this does not change the situation against the backdrop of such imbalance. The US is unable to improve it either, as it has destroyed the "Cold War legacy" - tactical nuclear missiles, land-based missiles and nuclear warheads of sea-based Tomahawk cruise missiles.

To be continued.
http://english.pravda.ru/russia/politics/12-11-2014/12901...

can you imagine some-one writing this

are they totally gone bonkers ?

"In 2010, the Europeans, in the face of foreign ministers of Poland and Sweden, insolently demanded Russia should single-handedly establish two nuclear-free zones - the Kaliningrad region (enclave) and the Kola Peninsula - the territories of priority deployment of Russian tactical nuclear weapons. The regions serve as the main bases for the Baltic and Northern Fleets. In case of the Northern Fleet, the region is a base for most of Russian SNF.

Since then, the Americans have repeatedly offered Russia to follow the flawed way of solving the "problem of tactical nuclear weapons." They stubbornly insist on reaching an agreement to eliminate disparities on stocks of tactical nuclear weapons. They even tried to stipulate a condition for the effect of the START-3 Treaty. Thus, in accordance with Senator Lemieux's amendment (Amendment 4/S.AMDN.4908), the START-3 was to come into force after the Russian side agreed to start negotiations on the so-called liquidation of imbalance of tactical nuclear weapons in Russia and the US.

On February 3, 2011, Barack Obama wrote in a letter to several key senators saying that the United States was going to start negotiations with Russia to address disparity between tactical nuclear weapons of the Russian Federation and the United States to reduce the number of tactical nuclear warheads in a verifiable way.  Alas, in 2012, Putin returned to the Kremlin, and the hopes of the West to deceive Russia though unilateral disarmament failed.
http://english.pravda.ru/russia/politics/13-11-2014/12902...

and they are not going to disarm either

so what do they want to use all these  nuclear weapons for ?

blackmail ? like Dr Strangelove

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11/13/2014

two important facts about the fast increasing number of incidents with Russian military might at the European border

First, it takes a long time to prepare this, it is not done like this on a hunch which means that it is planned, coordinated, prepared and agreed upon - even at the same moment Putin is saying he just wants peace and so on. So there are two faces to Russian foreign policy. The practical guy and the tactical guy. You can chose who to believe and who to trust. If you think that practical things (the economy) will be more important than the military tactics you still think that there is not much to it and that peace will prevail (like good sense). If you prefer to look at the military tactics, than you better start preparing for the worst so you send a message that this guy better starts becoming practical because otherwise he will end up in a dead-end street as his bluff has been called. 

And the more further away or the bigger the incursions, the longer the planning and the preparations. 

And the real question is the following : if all this has been planned long time in advance, what else will come ? And what is the endgame ? 

The first important fact is that this is NOT incidental, this is planned and is part of a longterm strategy based upon a number of suppositions. Understand the strategy and the suppositions and you have a first choice of possible responses. 

Secondly, the number of incidents is not 30, no for Europe it is MUCH HIGHER over the last year. We are already at 100 military incidents in our airspace and before our coasts. 

"Allied jets have intercepted Russian fighter aircraft along Europe’s fringes 100 times this year, three times the 2013 total, according to NATO. The increased activity coincides with the U.S. and the European Union accusations that Russia is fueling the separatist conflict in Ukraine, where a September cease-fire is wobbling. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-12/poland-renews-ba...grow.html

THis means that every THREE days there is somewhere at our NATO borders a military incident with a Russian military aircraft, submarine or warship (some nuclear). I repeat - so you understand it - every THREE days. 

So when military commanders start getting nervous and worried, you have to ask yourself how you would react if somebody is knocking on your windows and doors every three days and sometimes is standing in your hall way or kitchen and leaving afterwards saying, sorry - no harm done. 

This is way beyond 'tension' and way beyond 'military incidents'.

This is an explicit military strategy of creating a permanent atmosphere of military tension.

And you only need one ship, submarine or fighter plane to make the mistake of beginning to fire to find ourselves in a totally different situation. And this has happened before. Only at that time the lines of communication between the White House and the Kremlin were still open and there were enough backchannels. With a permanent cutting of ties in all spheres between NATO and the US and the Kremlin at the other side one can hope this will still be the case (even if Obama wouldn't do something military without thinking months about it) 

It does mean for Belgium which has foreseen new cuts in its military forces that it would take years to adapt afterwards to the new international environment and its NATO obligations. Or we should just say that we don't want a Belgian army and want to pay a part of an European Defense Force or NATO force (or combination). But that is a bit difficult if you don't have One Commander in chief but 26 (as if the Governors of the US would decide where US troops would be send abroad). 

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11/12/2014

#ukraine why Kharkiv is a better target than Mariupol in this offensive

Several terrorist and subversive groups and cells have already been arrested in the city by the Intelligence Service from Ukraine. 

But there is more that story it seems 

"The so-called Novorossia project has foundered in recent months, and could be strengthened if the separatists were able to get control of Kharkiv, Ukraine's second-largest city.

 

Lozowy notes that the city has "symbolic significance," as well as being a major industrial center.

 

In December 1917, Kharkiv was the first Ukrainian city to recognize the Bolshevik coup in Russia, and the city served as Ukraine's capital until 1935. Ukraine's largest tank producer is located in the region, among many other military-industrial enterprises.

 

"Undoubtedly, Kharkiv, which has remained on the whole indifferent to calls to join 'Novorossia,' really upsets certain circles both in Moscow and in the LNR and DNR," Russian military analyst Aleksandr Golts told openrussia.org on November 10.

http://www.businessinsider.com/robert-coalson-russia-rest...

There is Mariupol but that may seem to be an enormously difficult target and maybe they just will pass it and go on the Crimea to take it on afterwards when it is isolated by land and sea. 

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11/11/2014

#ukraine no more trust in #osce mission with Russian observers abusing the mission

strange in any case that one of the parties is observing how its own tanks and military are passing borders that are being monitored by an organizing that is using its official representatives as observers

strange in any case that one of the parties participates in investigations of incidents and conflicts while their army and tanks are on the other side of the front

and it seems just to have become a Russian spy organisation after all

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another world war online (they only defaced a memorial page for a world war)

the other was a real war, so all that talk about cyberwar is for the moment just crap

in Ukraine there is a real war and all cyberactions in Ukraine are peanuts compared to the real war

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11/10/2014

#ukraine bored with computergames, go to Ukraine to play real war

these kind of kids go around in Russian Occupied zone to shoot at gas stations and the like

and we have also Russian journalists, western extreme rightwing tourists and Russian militias coming over to have some fun, try to storm something or fire some guns or tanks or artillery

the same happened during the Bosnian war and for more Muslim-inspired bored youngsters there is ISIS now

by the way, you can get killed by the Ukranian army (as a few hundred to thousand Russian families have experienced) - even if you are a socalled professional soldier and you go into Ukraine because you get a lot of money - and your family even more (relative) if you get killed (but don't get wounded).

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this is why our military software and networks have so much vulnerabilities

"Software assurance, the practice of designing and testing software to exclude vulnerabilities, has been apparently neglected completely by the Pentagon and the defense contractors that supply it with precision weapons, ISR, and command-and-control capabilities. With the famous Trustworthy Computing Memo written by Bill Gates, Microsoft embarked on a massive SA effort in 2002 when it became apparent that vulnerabilities in Windows and its applications represented an existential threat to its market. Software development was halted for a full year as every engineer was trained in the methods of code scanning and secure software design practices. While not perfect, that effort paid off eventually. A decade later, the latest versions of Windows are relatively good.

 

The Pentagon made a mistake common to many manufacturers. They assumed that because their systems were proprietary and distribution was controlled there would be no hacking, no vulnerabilities discovered, and no patch-management cycles to fix them. This is security by obscurity, an approach that always fails over time.
http://ciceromagazine.com/features/network-centric-warfar...

I couldn't say it better myself

before a bullet or weapon is used it is tested and tested and tested over again

not so with software and code and networks...... there are too many suppositions and there is so much neglected that you can't assume that they are safe, on the contrary

this is why it is so interesting to build up cyberwar capabilities ..... because you know that they will work when battle arrives... but what Ukraine shows is that the real battles won't be with software and code but with soldiers, weapons and bullets.... like holding on to an airport with a few guys with only guns and a few tanks

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