12/09/2014

the only reference to Belgium in the US Senate torture study

it is a known as a fact since long time that torture does only very rarely bring real information

just reading a book about the Great purges under Staline (nothing Great among them)

but sometimes people just don't want to listen to real specialists who will tell you that it won't work with people who are really convinced of their case and willing to die for it and that other people will just invent thing only to make you stop

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12/01/2014

no we don't need military in our streets for now, we need them at our nuclear installations

The minister of Security (as he calls himself) proposed to the minister of Defense of the same party (NVA) to let military patrol the streets in Belgium.

They have done already that once but than we had at the same time the attacks from the Bende van Nijvel and from the CCC which was creating the strategy of tension in Belgium voluntary or not as not all information about that will be declassified before I die

He refers to France but France started with military patrols at certain historic and strategic places after some real big terroristic attacks and because from time to time they arrest terroristic cells before they can attack. This is not necessarily a good strategy (in Great Britain it are just heavily armed policemen - but still policemen)

If the minister wants to put the military to any good use, he should place them at and around our nuclear installations where we have already lost one due to internal strategic sabotage and have lost another for two days because of a fire in an external electrical installation that is not protected by any wall or defensive installation 

if we lose any of the other nuclear installations we will be in a real blackout and the only thing you have to do is to blow up some electrical installations outside the installations which are totally unprotected

oh, no not only I am saying this, it was on the journal of RTBF (http://www.rtbf.be/video/detail_jt-19h30?id=1975146  from  minute 16) and in France there are also calls to militarise the protection and security of our nuclear installations (shortly after 9/11 there were military and missiles around our nuclear installations)

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11/22/2014

Snowden and Greenwald are politically dead in the US

"Now it looks very much like Greenwald is becoming a voice in the blogging wilderness again, and Snowden is watching from Moscow, once again isolated, as his explosive revelations fizzle out politically. On Tuesday, led by Republicans voting en masse, the U.S. Senate defeated a motion to vote on the USA Freedom Act, which would have curbed the NSA's bulk collection of Americans' phone records. The new, harder-line Republican Congress coming in January doesn’t seem likely to pass the bill either
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/11/edward-sno...

Now those two are lamblasting the system and the judicial system and the stupid public and whatever they can think off (the media for example) but they seem to forget - as we have said here months ago - that Putin has changed as much the perception of the discussion as 9/11 had when we were discussing Echelon in 2001.

Putin has brought us to the brink of the cold war again and his permanent madness of sending bombers and submarines to our coasts - sometimes nuclear-capable - with all the risks of military incidents or collasions with civil airlines is just too mad to understand. It brought the possibility of military incidents right at our border instead of somewhere in some far part of Ukraine where there is everyday some shooting but nothing that could be really called a real big war.

ISIS has helped also off course.

And it just doesn't seem the right time now to dismantle the NSA now. You never know what they may miss because of the reorganisation, the limited resources or capabilities. They missed an 9/11 once because they didn't have enough translators and analysts.

as long as there is more oversight - for the moment not enough people care enough

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some damn clear facts about terrorism in 2013

that doesn't mean that in your physical securityplan you don't have to take the protection into account (there are several books about specific physical protection for buildings against terrorism going from bomb attacks (perimeter defense) to hostage taking (secret entrances and secret hide rooms))

source (the documents can be downloaded at the site without registration)

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11/20/2014

ISIS grabs city in....Libya 2OO km from Europe

source http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/black-flag-isis-raised-over-libyas-derna-just-200-miles-eu-coast-1475600

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11/15/2014

meanwhile in Kobane (syria) some are still fighting against ISIS

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11/04/2014

you fight for a cause, a country, a government you believe it if you have to die for it in #Iraq

"Eaton said advisors can help the Iraqi military with strategy, tactics and intelligence. But without competent ground forces, he said, U.S. and coalition airstrikes will have minimal effect because they cannot teach the "moral component" to fight and die for a common cause.

 

 

"Until the Iraqi soldier in his eyes is a legitimate actor for a legitimate government, we are not going to have any hope of success," Eaton said. "You can't train them to believe in a constitution and a government."
http://www.latimes.com/world/middleeast/la-fg-iraq-army-2...

So as long as Iraq has no coalition government in which all the different parts of the population recognize themselves and accept this as the democratic representation of their society it will be very hard to make those thousands of soldiers fight as if their lives depend of it. They will run for their lifes and try to save their families, not fight untill they can die. And if a soldier doesn't fight without fear, he is not really fighting even if dying on the battlefield is a stupid strategy as all those experienced soldiers have to be replaced by new soldiers off which more than a third will die in the first months.

But hey while we are throwing a few bombs now and than we will start a big new campaign.... in the spring

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10/28/2014

why is the battle in Lebanon so important for the rebels in #syria ?

"A battle between Lebanese troops and Muslim militants in northern Lebanon was widely expected after members of the Islamic State group and al-Qaida's branch in Syria, the Nusra Front, launched several attacks over the past weeks in areas on the border with Syria.

Sunni militants inspired by the Nusra Front and the Islamic State group have killed and wounded several soldiers in a string of attacks in recent months in Tripoli and nearby areas.

Lebanese army commander Gen. Jean Kahwaji said in comments published this month that the militants from Syria want to ignite civil war and create a passage to Lebanon's coastline by linking the Syrian Qalamoun mountains with the Lebanese border town of Arsal and the northern Lebanese town of Akkar, an impoverished Sunni area.

http://bigstory.ap.org/article/3203da1b8d79480fa9d542c057...

Why does Putin want Crimea and now Mariupol ? And why is Syria so important to him, expect that it has his last Russian military fleetbase ? 

Access to the sea means that there is a way to get weapons, fighters and other material by sea 

but this is not the FSA but AlQaida so this battle is lost because nobody has an interest in it, except for Al Qaida, but that is not in the interest of anybody - and surely not FSA

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remember the Afghan rebels shooting down Russian helicopters ? #Isis does....

"BAGHDAD — From the battlefield near Baiji, an Islamic State jihadist fired a heat-seeking missile and blew an Iraqi Army Mi-35M attack helicopter out of the sky this month, killing its two crew members.

Days later, the Islamic State released a chilling series of images from a video purporting to capture the attack in northern Iraq: a jihadist hiding behind a wall with a Chinese-made missile launcher balanced on his shoulder; the missile blasting from the tube, its contrail swooping upward as it tracked its target; the fiery impact and the wreckage on a rural road.

The helicopter was one of several Iraqi military helicopters that the militants claim to have shot down this year, and the strongest evidence yet that Islamic State fighters in Iraq are using advanced surface-to-air missile systems that pose a serious threat to aircraft flown by Iraq and the American-led coalition.

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/27/world/middleeast/missil...

that is why they need US helicopters who have defenses against such attacks 

this is not just a bunch of guys with machine guns, Isis is an army so you have to battle it like an army

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Yemen is just such a mess no wonder alqaida feels at home

"FIghting in central Yemen between Houthi rebels and a tribe in the town of Radda has killed at least 250 people in the last three days, security officials said Monday.

 

The Houthis — a political and religious rebel group named after a former commander, Hussein Badr al-Din al-Houthi — captured Sanaa on Sept. 21 after weeks of anti-government protests focused on fuel price rises. The group signed a power-sharing agreement with other political parties soon afterward, a deal that was sanctioned by President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi. But this has not deterred the Houthis from pushing into other parts of the country. Their leaders say they want a more representative national government that can combat corruption and secure the country. http://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2014/10/27/official...

if you understand something, you know more than I but this looks like a real mess in which you will never know who will do what to who 

failed state is their name

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why #ISIS has to control cities and road to have a steady income (next to oil)

"Extortion and illicit taxation systems are also a significant source of income for ISIS, and potentially one of the most sustainable. Prior to capturing Mosul, ISIS was already earning $12 million a month in the city alone. This is now being replicated, though in a more organized manner, across ISIS-controlled territory and covertly in other areas under its partial influence. However, it should be recognized that this ‘extortion’ and taxation is not always done unilaterally and solely in ISIS self-interest. For example, a sophisticated ISIS taxation system on the main highway between Jordan and Baghdad has been developed which replaces the government’s import tax by charging reduced rates for the transport of goods into the Iraqi capital. The trucking business across western Iraq is primarily controlled by Sunni tribes, and therefore, by imposing lower taxes ISIS earns a steady income but offers its tribal guarantors an opportunity to increase their earnings.  Similar systems are in place elsewhere in western Iraq and eastern Syria, with an overriding emphasis place upon this dual focus of earning money while retaining a ‘buy-in’ from tribes that ISIS existentially relies upon for its societal survivability.

http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/iran-at-saban/posts/2014/1...

so without troops on the ground to attack ISIS and to develop a sense of security so that nobody thinks that they have to pay to ISIS to be sure that their livehood and business will not have any risk of being killed, ISIS will be sure to have at one side enough resources to pay its combatants and at the other side have secured the continued commerce in the territories that she controls so that 'everything looks normal' and people can 'get on with their lives' (they think)

and neither the Iraq army nor the Iraq leadership are showing any real willingness to go to a real war with ISIS because they are holding back (and the US and the socalled alliance is NOT giving them the military hardware and operations they need to make a real difference)

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the situation can become much worse in Iraq and the region if #ISIS takes Anbar (but who cares over here?)

"So far, Iraqi military and security forces in Anbar report they are receiving supplies and light arms from the government, but not the heavy artillery and tanks they say they need to push back Islamic State gains.

 

“The general perception is that the Iraqi government doesn’t believe Anbar as a whole to be important,” says Ahmed Ali, an Iraqi researcher with the Institute for the Study of War based in Washington. “It sees parts of Anbar to be important, but it’s clear the government’s priority is to secure the [outskirts] of Baghdad first.”

 

Similarly, US-led airstrikes have shifted away from targets in and around cities in Anbar in recent weeks. Instead, coalition planes are more often protecting key points of Iraqi infrastructure like the Mosul Dam and Bayji oil refinery.

 

Ali says beyond the province’s symbolic value, there will be dramatic strategic consequences if Anbar falls out of government control. One of those consequences will be that Islamic State militants will be better positioned to launch attacks on Shia holy sites in Karbala. One such devastating attack, Ali argues, could spark an all out civil war in a manner similar to how the 2006 al-Askari Mosque bombing in Samarra unleashed a torrent of sectarian violence. http://www.mintpressnews.com/isis-making-strong-gaines-in...

war is not sending 9 or 20 times a plane to drop a bomb or 4 - how precise and massive they may seem

war is not only giving small arms to soldiers who are facing an enemy with tanks, rocketlaunchers and heavy artillery 

war is not standing by and saying everything is lost even if we have done everything we could (we say) 

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10/24/2014

#ISIS went to the hill to be closer to god and the US helped a bit with that

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10/12/2014

soldiers of the future : the special forces from Taiwan

source http://cyberwarzone.com/taiwan-special-forces-unveil-scary-new-look/

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10/11/2014

interpol coordinates a program to share info about foreign ISIS fighters

“Interpol provides critical leadership in advancing the Justice Department’s efforts to combat terrorism and ensure the safety of all Americans – offering cutting-edge resources, a structure for international cooperation and strategic tools like Red, Blue and Green Notices for tracing, targeting and apprehending terror suspects,” said Attorney General Eric Holder. “In a world that is increasingly interdependent and interconnected, INTERPOL helps to defend against a range of evolving challenges by disseminating information, combating crime and identifying potential threats.”

“And particularly today, with the emergence of groups like ISIL and the knowledge that some Americans are attempting to travel to countries like Syria and Iraq to take part in ongoing conflicts,” Holder said, “INTERPOL – as the world’s largest international police organization – has a vital role to play in safeguarding our homeland and protecting the American people.”

DHS Secretary Jeh Johnson said, “The threat posed by foreign fighters is one that is persistent and requires the full cooperation and resources of the international law enforcement community to effectively combat. We are already working closely with European and other governments to build better information sharing, and we will continue to leverage our partnership with the INTERPOL, Department of Justice and other international partners to make enhanced and concerted efforts to track foreign fighters who come from or seek to enter the United States.”

The program currently supports a working group that includes Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, New Zealand, Spain, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States, as well as an international symposia -- a multinational database populated with information contributed by and accessible to participating member countries.
http://www.hstoday.us/single-article/interpol-washington-...

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10/09/2014

why a more stable Pakistan with accountable intelligence services will stabilize the region

today they are shooting at the Kashmir region again, a region where radicals financed and trained by the ISI Pakistan intelligence services are fighting the Indian 'Occupation'

both countries have nuclear weapons by the way

http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2014/jun/05/paki...

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10/08/2014

#kobane online rage spilling over to the streets of Europe

the last city that is still defended by some Kurdish fighters who know they are going to die against the tanks and artillery of the ISIS with their thousands of experienced battle hardened fighters

once in a while there is an Alliance fighterjet coming over doing many things but no fighting

while at the Turkish border tanks are standing by of the second biggest army of Europe that used to kill as many Kurdish fighters as possible but now are watching how those brave Kurdish fighters are being slaughtered

so people grow angry

at tanks that don't shoot and planes that don't bombard (except with words that are empty of any meaning)

I don't think the Kurdish militants and families will continue to keep silent because in their despair the only thing they can do is make sure that every European capital knows that they are there and they are watching and they are desperate for their families and communities still in Iraq and Syria

just as in Ukraine

sometimes I think that the future générations of leaders will have less problems with using war and military strikes because they will remember that if you don't use it now and than it will all become such a mess that you need to set up such big interventions that it will take years and ask billions of your budgets to get the things Under control again

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the problem with the article in De Morgen against the arrested jihadists

de Morgen published a long article today about the arrest jihadists in Brussels that were planning - according to some media reports - a bomb attack against the European institutions (and why does that surprise anyone ?)

the first problem is that some stupid person gave their journalist access to the files - long before any trial started and so this could be a problem even to have a trial - as information from the files is divulged in the press. So who-ever is responsable for these files should be reprimanded and the security of access to these files should be limited to the people involved

the trial has to take place in the courtroom, not in a newspaper - as long as there is no proof that there is a grave misconduct of justice here

the second problem is that the article is stating more or less that this arrested wasn't that important and that you could hardly call them terrorists or even dangerous but there are some details that are overlooked in the article that makes it very dangerous to make such a statement

* the man wanted to become a professional to install security-installation (with other words he would be installing the security that he eventually could disable later on)

* they were living in a classy neighborhood - far from the more extremist neighborhoods where agents are keeping a close watch on who is coming and going with a lot of money that was not accounted for

* he went to Syria and helped other people going to Syria

* he had guns

* he refuses to cooperate with the police investigation and refuses to give access to a specific part of his laptop (not to incrimate himself)

* he went on reconnaissance in the neighborhood of the European administrative buildings

so when you have already all that information you have two options, you wait because youi think you don't have enough and you have to organize enormous resources just to keep him 24h under surveillance to be sure that you aren't missing something and you can always intervene in time to prevent an attack

or you say that you have enough to hold him on lesser charges and you will see what will come out during the investigations or even better if one of the parties wants to collaborate but the main objective is to put them out of harm's way so that you can use all those resources in effective investigations and looking for other sleeper cells or local 'infrastructure' that only does some 'inoffensive' tasks like transport en accomodation

implicating now that the police services have nothing (maybe the journalist has not seen all the files and if he did than there is surely a big breach)

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10/06/2014

the #isis territory and why the air attacks are just make-believe

look at this map

2000px-syria(8)

20141005-232636.jpg

http://pietervanostaeyen.wordpress.com

look at the difference between the maps indicating that the situation is very fluid and that nobody really has a very good view about the total situation on the ground except about who controls the cities or which part of the cities.

secondly look also at the different appréciations of the régions that the Kurds still control - it is however clear that if we are not helping the isolated kurds  now they are just (again) fighting all alone for their survival

thirdly look at how the encirclement of Baghdad is beginning one step at a time ....

fourth look at how the plan for an Assadregion in Syria is playing out (Damascus to the coast) but where he still has to take control of some borderregions before 'freezing the lines

but the biggest question is

so do you really think that 10 or 20 attacks a day will really change something on the ground ?

do you really think all those cities can be retaken without troops on the ground ?

if your answer is yes

than you haven't read anything the last years about military campaigns especially against non-state terrorists

this is just a tv-show making you believe that we are doing something

the planes in Libya were helping but it were the thousands of volunteers and rebel forces on the ground that were taking over city after city after having fought street by street, house by house (now fighting each other)

and so, sending airplanes without the goods or men to fight on the ground

makes me understand that when they say it will take 2 to 3 years to beat ISIS is something that can't be sustained and that at some moment in time troops (at least in Iraq) and weapons (surely in Syria and Kurdistan) will have to be send over on a scale not imagined today

which is a shame because for each bomb or missile you could send over a great number of tanks, guns and other artillery for the ground troops

and yes, after this Kurdistan will be independent (it will have fought for that even if the Turks are just counting the Kurdish deaths and not firing a single shot at ISIS) and yes Syria will be split in two with a frozen conflict for some time to come (untill a new Russia decides that it doesn't want to support this kind of regimes anymore)

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some bombardements against #ISIS are targeted killings of the foreign brigades

this solves in fact the question about what to do about them if they want to come back or are apprehended or so

but there is a legal question : 'at which point a government can start targeting its own citizens in a foreign country if these are not fighting in any way against the national forces ?'

this is the reason you will read in the newspapers before that these groups are planning attacks on our soil - and that is why it is stupid of these groups to declare they will do these things

if they should declare that their war is only in Syria and Iraq than there is a more complicated situation legally - a situation that has been arised when drones were targeted US nationals fighting with Al Qaida (but not against US troops)

this is one example

http://www.alaan.tv/news/world-news/114998/khorassan-grou...

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